Amed vs Beşiktaş 3:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.75 — +8.4% better than the market.

Beşiktaş holds a slight quality edge but faces a resilient Amed side enjoying strong home momentum. Amed’s attacking edge against Beşiktaş’s less robust defense suggests chances for goals, while Beşiktaş’s solid defensive setup may limit the home side’s efficiency. Recent form favors Beşiktaş, though Amed’s home performances hint at a lively contest.

Amed’s attacking pressure vs Beşiktaş’s defense
Beşiktaş’s recent winning streak and defensive solidity
Moderate pace expected, supporting a balanced goal environment

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 39% Implied 36% +1.75u

+175%

ROI on stake

Lineups

DIY 4-2-3-1 · BES 4-1-4-1

DIY · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · BES

99 Orban

Statistics

DIY 3 – 2 BES

31%

Possession (%)

69%

1.47

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.12

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Amed beat Beşiktaş 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.12 to 1.47. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 10, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.47 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 14 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +1.50 units (Brier 0.307).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.75	—	39%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.74	—	61%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Away Win	1.84	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	60%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.02	—	43%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.19	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.25	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.90	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.32	—	19%	Cashed	+3.32	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	+1.50u	+14% ROI

Amed vs Beşiktaş 3:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled