Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4:0

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.56 — +5.0% better than the market.

Başakşehir holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite mixed recent form. Their offensive edge against Gençlerbirliği’s sturdy defense suggests controlled attacking phases. The home side’s compact block and set-piece threat could exploit the visitors’ defensive gaps. Gençlerbirliği’s recent form upswing hints at resilience, but the home advantage and tactical discipline favor Başakşehir.

Home edge in attack-defense matchup
Gençlerbirliği’s improving form
Moderate pace expected with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.56 ✓ Cashed

AI 67% Implied 64% +0.56u

+56%

ROI on stake

Lineups

IST 4-2-3-1 · GEN 4-1-4-1

IST · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · GEN

9 Selke

Statistics

IST 4 – 0 GEN

54%

Possession (%)

46%

2.78

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Başakşehir beat Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.78 to 0.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 7, 11 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.93 units (Brier 0.215).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.27	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.05	—	50%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.62	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.69	—	49%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.62	—	28%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Home Win	1.56	—	67%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	89%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Draw	4.48	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−1.93u	−18% ROI

Başakşehir vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled