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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Alanyaspor — Göztepe

Alanyaspor vs Göztepe 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor
Home · last 5 L W D W D
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 17:00
2:2
Full-time
Göztepe
Göztepe
L L D D W Away · last 5
Referee Ozan Ergun, Türkiye
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.91 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.73 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 40% · book 2.50 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.70 – 1.74
Δ −0.04
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.91 — +5.8% better than the market.

Alanyaspor arrives with stronger recent form and a clear home momentum edge over struggling Göztepe. The hosts' ability to capitalize on their home turf and better points per game suggests they will control the tempo. Expect a compact defensive setup from Göztepe aiming to frustrate, but Alanyaspor's pressing and set-piece threat could unlock chances.

  • Home momentum and form advantage
  • Göztepe's defensive resilience vs Alanyaspor's pressing
  • Moderate pace expected with tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.91 ✗ Lost
AI 55% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ALA 2 – 2 GOZ
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.74
20
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
8
16
Shots Inside Box
10
9
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
3
8
Fouls
10
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Alanyaspor and Göztepe drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 14, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +3.10 units (Brier 0.328).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.91 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.73 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.50 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.20 — 41% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.84 — 45% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.42 — 68% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.57 — 60% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Away Win 3.04 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.32 — 28% Cashed +2.32 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.75 — 21% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +3.10u +28% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
ALA – GOZ @ 1.91
+5.8%
Edge
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