P
Prognosist
P
Home Turkey Süper Lig Samsunspor — Fenerbahçe

Preview Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 D W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 18:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
L W Away · last 5
Referee Y. Kol
Home Win · SAM
24%
Best 5.09
Draw
23%
Best 4.36
Away Win · FEN
53%
Best 1.65

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 70% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 68%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Samsunspor hosts Fenerbahçe in a Süper Lig clash where attacking intent is clear. Both sides show decent recent form, but Fenerbahçe’s slightly higher points per game and past head-to-head edge suggest a subtle quality advantage. The market hints at a lively encounter with goals likely, supported by both teams’ tendency to find the net. Expect a tactical battle with Samsunspor’s home momentum meeting Fenerbahçe’s sharper finishing.

  • Home side’s resilience in recent matches
  • Away team’s attacking edge and goal threat
  • Potential for an open game with multiple goals

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 53% Fenerbahçe win
Over/Under 2.5 70% Over 2.5
BTTS 68% Yes
Double Chance 76% X2
  • 1X2 Fenerbahçe win 53%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70%
  • BTTS Yes 68%
  • Double Chance X2 76%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Samsunspor
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 12 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.34 / 2.00
Fenerbahçe
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 6
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-1
xG (for / against) 2.80 / 1.22

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.50
Goals Scored
2.50
1.50
Goals Conceded
2
1.51
Expected Goals (xG)
2.80
3
Shots on Target
9.50
2.50
Corners
8.50
54.50
Possession (%)
60.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
89
OFF · home
83
17
DEF · home
44
6
OFF · away
94
44
DEF · away
61
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Samsunspor wins when scoring first
Fenerbahçe wins when scoring first
Samsunspor BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Fenerbahçe BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Samsunspor Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
Fenerbahçe Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Samsunspor comeback rate · last 10
50%
Fenerbahçe comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Samsunspor · last 5 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 20%
46–60 40%
61–75 20%
76–90 20%

Fenerbahçe · last 6 away

0–15 20%
16–30 20%
31–45 39%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 20%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

C. Yüksel
SAM · Midfielder
1 G · 0.50 g/90
E. Kılınç
SAM · Attacker
1 G · 0.50 g/90
M. Greenwood
FEN · Attacker
2 G · 1.55 g/90
Talisca
FEN · Attacker
1 G · 1.00 g/90