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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Samsunspor — Fenerbahçe

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 18:30
0:2
Full-time
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
W L D W W Away · last 5
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu · Samsun Referee Yasin Kol, Türkiye
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 50% · book 2.50 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 70% · book 1.66 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 68% · book 1.67 ✗
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.46 – 1.56
Δ −1.10
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.67 — +12.9% better than the market.

Samsunspor hosts Fenerbahçe in a Süper Lig clash where attacking intent is clear. Both sides show decent recent form, but Fenerbahçe’s slightly higher points per game and past head-to-head edge suggest a subtle quality advantage. The market hints at a lively encounter with goals likely, supported by both teams’ tendency to find the net. Expect a tactical battle with Samsunspor’s home momentum meeting Fenerbahçe’s sharper finishing.

  • Home side’s resilience in recent matches
  • Away team’s attacking edge and goal threat
  • Potential for an open game with multiple goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.67 ✗ Lost
AI 68% Implied 60% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SAM 0 – 2 FEN
58%
Possession (%)
42%
0.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.56
6
Total Shots
15
0
Shots on Target
7
3
Shots off Target
6
3
Shots Inside Box
13
1
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
18
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
0
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

Fenerbahçe won 2–0 away at Samsunspor. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.56 to 0.46. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 6, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.17 units (Brier 0.274).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.50 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.66 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.32 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.65 — 53% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
BTTS No 2.15 — 32% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.34 — 30% Cashed +1.34 Cashed
Home Win 5.09 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.19 — 76% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 — 50% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Draw 4.36 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.17u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
SAM – FEN @ 1.67
+12.9%
Edge
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