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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Eyüpspor — Alanyaspor

Eyüpspor vs Alanyaspor 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Eyüpspor
Eyüpspor
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 16:00
2:1
Full-time
Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor
L W D W D Away · last 5
Referee Cihan Aydin, Türkiye
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.82 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.95 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 43% · book 2.28 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.32 – 0.62
Δ +0.70
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.82 — +15.0% better than the market.

Eyüpspor faces a tough challenge against Alanyaspor, who show better recent form and higher scoring potential. Eyüpspor’s struggles in attack and defense contrast with Alanyaspor’s sharper edge, suggesting the visitors may control the game tempo. The matchup hints at a cautious contest with limited goals, supported by odds favoring under 2.5 goals.

  • Alanyaspor’s recent momentum and goal threat
  • Eyüpspor’s home pressure offset by poor form
  • Likely compact defensive setups limiting scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.82 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 55% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

EYU 2 – 1 ALA
63%
Possession (%)
37%
1.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.62
11
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
3
6
Shots Inside Box
4
1
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
3
16
Fouls
22
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Eyüpspor beat Alanyaspor 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.32 to 0.62. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.82 units (Brier 0.269).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.82 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.28 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.67 — 57% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.07 — 37% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 42% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 — 83% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.36 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.36 — 30% Cashed +2.36 Cashed
Draw 3.38 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.50 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −0.82u −7% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
EYU – ALA @ 1.82
+15.0%
Edge
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