Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 5.40 — +7.4% better than the market.

Başakşehir shows clear home momentum with a perfect recent win and a strong points per game edge over Kasımpaşa. Their attacking threat is evident from expected goals, suggesting they can break down Kasımpaşa’s defense effectively. The visitors, while resilient, have struggled to convert chances, hinting at a tighter defensive battle but limited scoring.

Home side’s recent form and scoring potential
Visiting team’s defensive resilience but low offensive output
Moderate pace expected with a slight lean towards under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 5.40 ✗ Lost

AI 20% Implied 19% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

IST 4-2-3-1 · KAS 4-2-3-1

IST · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · KAS

17 Bozok

Statistics

IST 1 – 1 KAS

65%

Possession (%)

35%

0.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.59

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.59 to 0.76. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.96 units (Brier 0.236).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.00	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.32	—	43%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.10	—	47%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.65	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	49%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.40	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	68%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	80%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Draw	4.16	—	23%	Cashed	+3.16	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 5 L	+1.96u	+18% ROI

Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled