🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Başakşehir to win — 57% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Başakşehir shows clear home momentum with a perfect recent win and a strong points per game edge over Kasımpaşa. Their attacking threat is evident from expected goals, suggesting they can break down Kasımpaşa’s defense effectively. The visitors, while resilient, have struggled to convert chances, hinting at a tighter defensive battle but limited scoring.
- Home side’s recent form and scoring potential
- Visiting team’s defensive resilience but low offensive output
- Moderate pace expected with a slight lean towards under 2.5 goals
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 57% | Başakşehir win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 53% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 51% | No |
| Double Chance | 80% | 1X |
- 1X2 Başakşehir win 57%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53%
- BTTS No 51%
- Double Chance 1X 80%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Başakşehir
W/D/L
3-0-2
Goals (for / against)
9 / 6
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
xG (for / against)
2.04 / 1.11
Kasımpaşa
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
6 / 5
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.04 / 0.97
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Başakşehir wins when scoring first
—
①
Kasımpaşa wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Başakşehir BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Kasımpaşa BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Başakşehir Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Kasımpaşa Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Başakşehir comeback rate · last 10
—
↩
Kasımpaşa comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Başakşehir · last 3 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
50%
31–45
50%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
0%
Kasımpaşa · last 4 away
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
67%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
33%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.
