Match Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.25 — +8.0% better than the market.

Fenerbahçe hosts Konyaspor in a Süper Lig clash where both sides are struggling for form, each coming off recent losses. The home side holds a slight edge with home momentum and historical dominance, but Konyaspor’s resilience could keep the game tight. Expect a cautious tempo with a compact defensive setup from both teams, potentially limiting clear chances.

Fenerbahçe’s home advantage and past big win
Both sides showing recent form dips
Likely low to moderate scoring with defensive caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 6.25 ✗ Lost

AI 17% Implied 16% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FEN 4-2-3-1 · KON 4-2-3-1

FEN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · KON

19 Muriqi

📊 Statistics

FEN 4 – 2 KON

50%

Possession (%)

50%

2.33

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

92%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fenerbahçe beat Konyaspor 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.33 to 1.26. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.33 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.96 units (Brier 0.172).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.87	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.67	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.32	—	41%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.50	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.85	—	46%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Away Win	10.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.00	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.25	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.50	—	62%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	83%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Home Win	1.30	—	66%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.96u	−27% ROI