Match Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin April 17, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.86 — +8.8% better than the market.

Legia Warszawa hosts Zaglebie Lubin in a clash where home momentum and defensive solidity could be decisive. Despite Zaglebie's higher overall quality rating, Legia's recent form shows resilience with multiple draws and wins, suggesting a compact block and disciplined approach. The home side's defensive edge and slightly better recent points per game hint at a tight contest with limited goal-scoring chances.

Legia's defensive organization vs Zaglebie's moderate attacking threat
Home form stability contrasts with Zaglebie's recent struggles
Match likely to feature cautious tempo and few clear-cut chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.86 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 54% +0.86u

+86%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEG 3-5-2 · ZAG 4-2-3-1

LEG · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · ZAG

9 Adamski

📊 Statistics

LEG 1 – 0 ZAG

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.74

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.57

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

64%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Legia Warszawa beat Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 77% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.74 to 0.57. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.22 units (Brier 0.163).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.86	—	59%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.30	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.91	—	55%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.93	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.68	—	50%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.00	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.50	—	33%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.19	—	74%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	78%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.82	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.87	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.31	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.26	—	50%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.22u	−19% ROI

Match Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin April 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.86 — +8.8% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled