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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Motor Lublin — Raków Częstochowa

Predictions by Market: Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 12:45
1:1
Full-time
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
W W L W W Away · last 5
Motor Lublin Arena · Lublin Referee B. Frankowski

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MOT
40%
Best 2.92
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · RAK
34%
Best 2.25
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 13.00
Fair odds
11.36
book 13.00 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 9% · EV +14.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (91%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.8%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.8%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29%
Odds 4.02
Show model details
Implied probability 24.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.8%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.4%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.6%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 34.4%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
MOT – RAK @ 13.00
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →