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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin — Raków Częstochowa

Match Motor Lublin vs Raków Częstochowa April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 12:45
1:1
Full-time
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
W W L W W Away · last 5
Motor Lublin Arena · Lublin Referee B. Frankowski
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.10
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.25
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 66% · book 1.62
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.12 – 2.15
Δ −1.03
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.10 — +12.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.10 ✓ Cashed
AI 54% Implied 48% +1.10u
+110%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

MOT 11 RAK
51%
Possession (%)
49%
1.12
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.15
7
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
5
4
Shots Inside Box
10
7
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
7
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
3
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Motor Lublin and Raków Częstochowa drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.15 to 1.12. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 7, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.88 units (Brier 0.153).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.10 54% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.25 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.62 66% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.85 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.15 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.68 51% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Away Win 2.36 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.75 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.15 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 75% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.44 60% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.02 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.10 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 91% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.55 26% Cashed +2.55 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 71% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.88u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MOT – RAK @ 2.10
+12.9%
Edge
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