P
Prognosist
P
Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Zaglebie Lubin — Radomiak Radom

Zaglebie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
Home · last 5 L D W L L
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 15:30
1:0
Full-time
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
W W D L L Away · last 5
Stadion Zagłębia Lubin · Lubin Referee Piotr Lasyk, Poland
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.93 ✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 44% · book 2.75 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.10 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.98 – 0.58
Δ +0.40
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.93 — +10.9% better than the market.

Zaglebie Lubin holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo. Their recent form shows a bounce back with two wins after a rough patch, contrasting Radomiak's mixed results. The home side's defense faces a tough test against Radomiak's sharper attack, but their own offensive output should challenge the visitors' less robust defense.

  • Home momentum after recent wins
  • Balanced tactical matchup with home defensive resilience
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.93 ✓ Cashed
AI 57% Implied 52% +0.93u
+93%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ZAG 1 – 0 RAD
36%
Possession (%)
64%
0.98
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.58
17
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
0
8
Shots off Target
7
11
Shots Inside Box
7
1
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
0
24
Fouls
14
61%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Zaglebie Lubin beat Radomiak Radom 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 77% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 11, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.89 units (Brier 0.184).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.93 — 57% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Home Win 2.75 — 44% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 — 52% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.90 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.77 — 44% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.09 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.49 — 71% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.66 — 32% Cashed +2.66 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.35 — 77% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.57 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.88 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 89% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.50 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.89u −5% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ZAG – RAD @ 1.93
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →