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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Charleroi — Cercle Brugge

Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge 3:2: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Charleroi
Charleroi
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 16:15
3:2
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
L L D L L Away · last 5
Stade du Pays de Charleroi · Charleroi Referee Letellier Anthony
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 61% · book 1.77 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.40 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.41 ✗
Total goals
5
3 · 2
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.77 — +8.0% better than the market.

Charleroi arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid form run and a clear quality edge over Cercle Brugge. Their offensive firepower faces a less resilient away defense, suggesting they can control the game tempo and create chances. Cercle's recent struggles and defensive vulnerabilities may be exploited by Charleroi's pressing and set-piece threat.

  • Home side's attacking edge against away defense
  • Strong recent form versus away's poor run
  • Likely moderate to high pace given goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.77 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 57% +0.77u
+77%
ROI on stake

Statistics

CHA 3 – 2 CER
64%
Possession (%)
36%
14
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
1
9
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Charleroi beat Cercle Brugge 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.45 units (Brier 0.171).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.77 — 61% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
BTTS No 2.40 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.41 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.40 — 37% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.06 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.23 — 83% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.53 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.58 — 59% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 58% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Draw 4.16 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.20 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.45u −22% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
CHA – CER @ 1.77
+8.0%
Edge
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