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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Gent — Standard Liege

Gent vs Standard Liege 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Gent
Gent
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Fri 18 Sep · 18:45
2:1
Full-time
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
W W W L L Away · last 5
Ghelamco Arena · Ghent Referee Lothar D'Hondt
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 58% · book 1.92 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 1.91 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.05 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.92 — +10.7% better than the market.

Gent holds a clear quality edge and home momentum with a strong recent run, making them favorites at Planet Group Arena. Their solid defensive setup should challenge Standard Liege’s potent attack, which has shown signs of breaking down opponents. The home side’s pressing edge and compact block could limit away chances, while Standard’s resilience and counterattacks add intrigue.

  • Gent’s home form and defensive solidity
  • Standard’s attacking threat vs Gent’s defense
  • Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.92 ✓ Cashed
AI 58% Implied 52% +0.92u
+92%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GEN 2 – 1 STA
45%
Possession (%)
55%
11
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
10
5
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
5
1
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Gent beat Standard Liege 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.61 units (Brier 0.151).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.92 — 58% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 51% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.05 — 47% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.80 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.91 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.23 — 83% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 — 73% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.15 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.61u −24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
GEN – STA @ 1.92
+10.7%
Edge
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