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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › KV Mechelen — Anderlecht

Predictions by Market: KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Home · last 5 D L L D W
Kick-off
Fri 11 Sep · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
W D W W W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MEC
28%
Best 4.30
Draw
25%
Best 3.76
Away Win · AND
47%
Best 1.82
Value pick
Home Win
@ 4.01
Fair odds
3.59
book 4.01 · +11.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +11.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (47%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 27.9%
Odds 4.01
Show model details
Implied probability 24.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.66
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
MEC – AND @ 4.01
+11.7%
Edge
Forecast →