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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › KV Mechelen — Anderlecht

KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Home · last 5 D L L D W
Kick-off
Fri 11 Sep · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
W D W W W Away · last 5
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 53% · book 1.90 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.15 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.65 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
Possession
34% – 66%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 4.01 — +11.7% better than the market.

KV Mechelen faces a tough challenge against Anderlecht, who show better recent form and higher points per game. Mechelen's home momentum is limited by a string of draws and losses, while Anderlecht's sharper attack and steadier defense give them a slight edge. The match could see a cautious tempo given the balanced goal expectations and the teams' defensive setups.

  • Anderlecht's recent wins suggest growing confidence on the road.
  • Mechelen's compact block may limit chances but struggles to convert.
  • Moderate pace likely with focus on structured play over quick transitions.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 4.01 ✗ Lost
AI 28% Implied 25% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

MEC 0 – 1 AND
34%
Possession (%)
66%
15
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
6
11
Shots Inside Box
9
10
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
21
1
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Anderlecht won 1–0 away at KV Mechelen. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.70 units (Brier 0.196).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.90 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 — 46% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.65 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.90 — 47% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Home Win 4.01 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.25 — 72% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Draw 3.66 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 3 W · 4 L −1.70u −24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
MEC – AND @ 4.01
+11.7%
Edge
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