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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Union St. Gilloise — Anderlecht

Preview Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Home · last 5 W D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 16:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
W L Away · last 5
Stade Joseph Marien · Brussels Referee L. Visser
Home Win · GIL
51%
Best 1.71
Draw
24%
Best 3.89
Away Win · AND
25%
Best 4.86

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 54% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Union St. Gilloise hosts Anderlecht in a clash where home momentum meets away resilience. Recent form shows both sides with mixed results, but Union's slight edge in home performance and historical head-to-head dominance could shape the contest. Expect a tactical battle with Union's compact block challenging Anderlecht's attacking intent.

  • Home side's solid defensive setup may limit Anderlecht's chances.
  • Anderlecht's pressing could test Union's buildup.
  • Moderate pace suggested by odds hints at a controlled game.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 51% Union St. Gilloise win
Over/Under 2.5 52% Over 2.5
BTTS 54% Yes
Double Chance 76% 1X
  • 1X2 Union St. Gilloise win 51%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52%
  • BTTS Yes 54%
  • Double Chance 1X 76%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Union St. Gilloise
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 15 / 8
Avg goals / match 4.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 2.09 / 0.82
Anderlecht
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-1
xG (for / against) 2.09 / 0.69

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.50
Goals Scored
1
0.50
Goals Conceded
1
1.05
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
5
Shots on Target
6.50
2.50
Corners
11
22.50
Possession (%)
67
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
0
OFF · home
89
100
DEF · home
83
78
OFF · away
39
61
DEF · away
67
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Union St. Gilloise wins when scoring first
Anderlecht wins when scoring first
Union St. Gilloise BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Anderlecht BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Union St. Gilloise Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Anderlecht Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Union St. Gilloise comeback rate · last 10
0%
Anderlecht comeback rate · last 10
33%

🔥 Goal timing

Union St. Gilloise · last 5 at home

0–15 25%
16–30 8%
31–45 0%
46–60 17%
61–75 25%
76–90 25%

Anderlecht · last 4 away

0–15 20%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 20%
61–75 20%
76–90 40%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

P. David
GIL · Attacker
1 G
A. Bertaccini
AND · Attacker
1 G
K. Nga
AND · Midfielder
1 G