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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Union St. Gilloise — Anderlecht

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 16:30
3:0
Full-time
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
W D W W W Away · last 5
Stade Joseph Marien · Brussels Referee L. Visser
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 49% · book 2.15 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.05 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.05 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.60 – 1.34
Δ +0.26
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.15 — +4.5% better than the market.

Union St. Gilloise hosts Anderlecht in a clash where home momentum meets away resilience. Recent form shows both sides with mixed results, but Union's slight edge in home performance and historical head-to-head dominance could shape the contest. Expect a tactical battle with Union's compact block challenging Anderlecht's attacking intent.

  • Home side's solid defensive setup may limit Anderlecht's chances.
  • Anderlecht's pressing could test Union's buildup.
  • Moderate pace suggested by odds hints at a controlled game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.15 ✗ Lost
AI 49% Implied 47% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GIL 3 – 0 AND
46%
Possession (%)
54%
1.60
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.34
15
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
7
13
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
3
6
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
14
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Union St. Gilloise beat Anderlecht 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.86 units (Brier 0.171).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.15 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.05 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 — 46% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 — 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Home Win 1.71 — 51% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
Away Win 4.86 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 — 70% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.18 — 76% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.85 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.89 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.86u −26% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
GIL – AND @ 2.15
+4.5%
Edge
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