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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Antwerp — St. Truiden

Preview Antwerp vs St. Truiden August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Antwerp
Antwerp
Home · last 5 W W D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 14:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
D D Away · last 5
Referee B. Van Driessche
Home Win · ANT
40%
Best 2.53
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · TRU
34%
Best 2.78

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 66% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 64%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Antwerp shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a St. Truiden side struggling to convert chances despite a higher expected goals figure. The home side's sharper finishing and pressing edge could prove decisive in a match likely to see both teams scoring. The moderate pace suggested by odds supports a balanced game with tactical battles in midfield.

  • Home form advantage and sharper attack
  • St. Truiden’s defensive vulnerabilities
  • Potential for goals on both ends

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 39% Antwerp win
Over/Under 2.5 64% Over 2.5
BTTS 66% Yes
Double Chance 66% 1X
  • 1X2 Antwerp win 39%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64%
  • BTTS Yes 66%
  • Double Chance 1X 66%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Antwerp
W/D/L 3-2-0
Goals (for / against) 11 / 5
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.29 / 1.31
St. Truiden
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.75 / 2.01

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
3
Goals Scored
2
1.67
Goals Conceded
2
1.38
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
2.67
Shots on Target
5.50
3
Corners
4.50
31.67
Possession (%)
55.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
44
OFF · home
61
56
DEF · home
39
89
OFF · away
83
100
DEF · away
6
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Antwerp wins when scoring first
St. Truiden wins when scoring first
Antwerp BTTS rate · last 10
40%
St. Truiden BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Antwerp Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
St. Truiden Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Antwerp comeback rate · last 10
25%
St. Truiden comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Antwerp · last 4 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 14%
31–45 43%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 43%

St. Truiden · last 4 away

0–15 0%
16–30 25%
31–45 25%
46–60 0%
61–75 25%
76–90 25%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

M. Frey
ANT · Attacker
4 G · 1.40 g/90
A. Valencia
ANT · Attacker
3 G · 1.94 g/90
R. Merlen
TRU · Midfielder
2 G · 1.16 g/90
I. Sebaoui
TRU · Midfielder
1 G · 0.50 g/90