Antwerp vs St. Truiden 1:4 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.67 — +10.4% better than the market.

Antwerp shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a St. Truiden side struggling to convert chances despite a higher expected goals figure. The home side's sharper finishing and pressing edge could prove decisive in a match likely to see both teams scoring. The moderate pace suggested by odds supports a balanced game with tactical battles in midfield.

Home form advantage and sharper attack
St. Truiden’s defensive vulnerabilities
Potential for goals on both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed

AI 66% Implied 60% +0.67u

+67%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ANT 4-4-2 · TRU 4-2-3-1

ANT · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · TRU

99 Narh

Statistics

ANT 1 – 4 TRU

59%

Possession (%)

41%

0.77

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.38

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

St. Truiden won 4–1 away at Antwerp. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.38 to 0.77. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.22 units (Brier 0.217).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	66%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.81	—	64%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Home Win	2.53	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.78	—	34%	Cashed	+1.78	Cashed
BTTS No	2.19	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.02	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	—	43%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.52	—	61%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−0.22u	−2% ROI

Antwerp vs St. Truiden 1:4: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled