St. Truiden vs Lommel United 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.32 — +6.2% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Jupiler Pro League clash leans on home advantage and market sentiment. St. Truiden holds a mild edge given the home setting, which often boosts pressing intensity and set-piece opportunities. The odds suggest a balanced contest with a slight lean towards a home win, while goal markets hint at a moderate tempo and a likely competitive, tight game.

Home momentum could influence early phases
Balanced attacking and defensive outlooks expected
Moderate goal environment suggested by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.32 ✓ Cashed

AI 46% Implied 43% +1.32u

+132%

ROI on stake

Lineups

TRU 4-2-3-1 · KVS 4-4-2

TRU · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · KVS

19 Soelle

Statistics

TRU 1 – 1 KVS

66%

Possession (%)

34%

1.91

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

St. Truiden and Lommel United drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 32 shots to 9, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.87 units (Brier 0.225).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.32	—	46%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.90	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	49%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	50%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.62	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.42	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.14	—	23%	Cashed	+3.14	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	—	71%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	77%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 5 L	+1.87u	+17% ROI

St. Truiden vs Lommel United 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled