Match Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce February 28, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.97 — +11.7% better than the market.

Motor Lublin hosts Korona Kielce in a tightly matched Ekstraklasa clash. Despite Korona’s slight quality edge, Motor’s home momentum and a more compact defensive setup could keep things close. Both sides show balanced offensive output, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

Home side’s defensive resilience may blunt Korona’s attack
Similar offensive strengths hint at a cautious tempo
Recent form shows minor advantage to Motor Lublin

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.97 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 51% +0.97u

+97%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOT 4-1-4-1 · KOR 3-4-3

MOT · 4-1-4-1 3-4-3 · KOR

9 Czubak

📊 Statistics

MOT 2 – 0 KOR

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.69

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.23

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Motor Lublin beat Korona Kielce 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.23 to 1.69. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 13, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.27 units (Brier 0.181).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.97	—	57%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Away Win	2.79	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	—	51%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Home Win	2.55	—	33%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.95	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.05	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.71	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.85	—	33%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	59%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.79	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	77%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	69%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.35	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.27u	−19% ROI

Match Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.97 — +11.7% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled