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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Jagiellonia — Legia Warszawa

Predictions by Market: Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Home · last 5 L W W D W
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 13:45
2:2
Full-time
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
L W W W W Away · last 5
Referee Karol Arys, Poland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · JAG
52%
Best 2.16
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · LEG
22%
Best 3.10
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.95
Fair odds
3.47
book 3.95 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (71%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 52.2%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.59
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 22.3%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.7%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.5%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.9%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.5%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.6%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 52.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22.3%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 47.8%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
JAG – LEG @ 3.95
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →