Match Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Jagiellonia enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a solid recent run. Their offensive edge against Legia's defense suggests they can create meaningful chances, while their home form adds confidence. Legia's defensive resilience might keep things tight, but their recent dip in form and away struggles hint at a challenging visit.

Home attacking pressure versus away defensive solidity
Jagiellonia's better recent form and home comfort
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

JAG 4-2-3-1 · LEG 3-4-3

JAG · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · LEG

10 Pululu

📊 Statistics

JAG 2 – 2 LEG

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.78

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.86

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Jagiellonia and Legia Warszawa drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.78 to 0.86. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 1 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.32 units (Brier 0.228).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.25	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.28	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.07	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.87	—	46%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	51%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.62	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.70	—	48%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.32	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.41	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.39	—	78%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.95	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	26%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.59	—	26%	Cashed	+2.59	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	71%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Away Win	3.30	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.32u	−8% ROI