GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam 3:3

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.88 — +14.3% better than the market.

GO Ahead Eagles hold a clear quality edge and home momentum against Sparta Rotterdam, who have struggled on the road. The Eagles’ attacking threat faces a slightly less robust Sparta defense, suggesting chances for goals but within a controlled tempo. Recent form favors the hosts, who have shown resilience and a compact block, while Sparta’s away struggles hint at difficulty breaking down organized defenses.

Home side’s offensive edge vs away defense
Superior recent form and home comfort
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.88 ✗ Lost

AI 40% Implied 35% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

EAG 4-2-3-1 · SPA 4-2-3-1

EAG · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SPA

9 Sigurðarson

Statistics

EAG 3 – 3 SPA

63%

Possession (%)

37%

1.33

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.01

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam drew 3–3. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.01 to 1.33. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 6. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.33 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +0.99 units (Brier 0.242).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.86	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.93	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.91	—	42%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.98	—	40%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.88	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.94	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	81%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.40	—	62%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.40	—	60%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	23%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Away Win	3.69	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 5 L	+0.99u	+9% ROI

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam 3:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled