Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar 2:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.00 — +14.2% better than the market.

Feyenoord hosts AZ Alkmaar in a clash where home momentum meets away resilience. Feyenoord's slight edge in overall quality and home advantage suggests a competitive match, yet AZ's recent form and attacking threat keep them dangerous. Expect a lively tempo given the high over 2.5 goals odds, hinting at open play and goal opportunities.

Feyenoord's home comfort and pressing edge could unsettle AZ's defense.
AZ's efficient attack challenges Feyenoord's solid defensive block.
Both sides show strong recent form, promising an engaging contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.00 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Statistics

FEY 2 – 0 ALK

43%

Possession (%)

57%

2.23

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.04

15

Total Shots

12

4

Shots on Target

2

8

Shots off Target

6

8

Shots Inside Box

9

7

Corner Kicks

6

0

Offsides

3

12

Fouls

15

1

Yellow Cards

3

2

Goalkeeper Saves

2

Match recap

Feyenoord beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.23 to 1.04. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.25 units (Brier 0.304).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.00	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.88	—	58%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.95	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.85	—	43%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.40	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	80%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.40	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.86	—	27%	Cashed	+1.86	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.88	—	25%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Draw	4.13	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.74	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−0.25u	−2% ROI

Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled