P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › PSV Eindhoven — Heerenveen

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Fri 09 Oct · 18:00
2:0
Full-time
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
D L D W L Away · last 5
Philips Stadion · Eindhoven Referee Joey Kooij
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 46% · book 2.50 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.53 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 27% · book 4.33 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.64 – 1.58
Δ +0.06
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 2.50 — +14.3% better than the market.

PSV Eindhoven enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a potent attack that outmatches Heerenveen's defense. Their recent run of wins highlights a confident side, while Heerenveen's inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest a tough day on the road. Expect PSV to leverage their pressing edge and create multiple chances in a game likely to see goals.

  • Home side's attacking prowess vs away defensive frailties
  • PSV's superior recent form and home comfort
  • Potential for a lively tempo given attacking intent

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 2.50 ✓ Cashed
AI 46% Implied 40% +1.50u
+150%
ROI on stake

Statistics

PSV 2 – 0 HEE
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.64
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.58
15
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
5
9
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
0
19
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven beat Heerenveen 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.67 units (Brier 0.227).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.50 — 46% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
BTTS No 2.53 — 40% Cashed +1.53 Cashed
Under 2.5 4.33 — 27% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
Draw 6.98 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.07 — 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Home Win 1.24 — 78% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.50 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.50 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.12 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.20 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 10.70 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L +0.67u +6% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
PSV – HEE @ 2.50
+14.3%
Edge
Forecast →