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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › NEC Nijmegen — GO Ahead Eagles

NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Home · last 5 L D L D D
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 14:45
1:1
Full-time
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
L D D D D Away · last 5
Goffertstadion · Nijmegen Referee Martijn Vos
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 49% · book 2.50 ✓
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 53% · book 1.92 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 1.87 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 4.75 — +6.8% better than the market.

NEC Nijmegen hosts GO Ahead Eagles in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have shown more consistency and attacking threat. NEC’s home momentum is tempered by their struggle to convert chances, while GO Ahead Eagles bring a compact defensive setup and a pressing edge that could disrupt the hosts’ rhythm.

  • NEC’s home form shows resilience but limited scoring.
  • GO Ahead Eagles’ balanced defense and pressing style.
  • Moderate pace expected with goal opportunities on both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 4.75 ✓ Cashed
AI 22% Implied 21% +3.75u
+375%
ROI on stake

Statistics

NIJ 1 – 1 EAG
46%
Possession (%)
54%
17
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
11
5
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
6
0
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

NEC Nijmegen and GO Ahead Eagles drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +4.20 units (Brier 0.261).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.50 — 49% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.92 — 53% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Home Win 1.87 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.92 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.00 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.75 — 22% Cashed +3.75 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.40 — 31% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
BTTS No 3.00 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.27 — 73% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.36 — 68% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.33 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +4.20u +38% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
NIJ – EAG @ 4.75
+6.8%
Edge
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