AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.50 — +11.1% better than the market.

AZ Alkmaar enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and higher points per game. Their attacking edge and home comfort at AFAS Stadion should challenge Telstar, who have struggled for consistency and show signs of defensive vulnerability. The pace hints at an open game with chances for both sides, but AZ’s sharper form and home advantage likely tilt the balance.

AZ’s recent winning streak fuels confidence.
Telstar’s defensive lapses may be exploited.
Expect a lively tempo with goal opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 6.50 ✗ Lost

AI 17% Implied 15% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ALK 4-2-3-1 · STO 3-4-2-1

ALK · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · STO

9 Meerdink

Statistics

ALK 1 – 0 STO

62%

Possession (%)

38%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AZ Alkmaar beat Telstar 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 3, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.63 units (Brier 0.224).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	2.11	—	50%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	41%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.76	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	9.65	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.00	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.60	—	30%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	84%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Home Win	1.29	—	67%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.28	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−0.63u	−6% ROI

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled