P
Prognosist
P
Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Willem II — Fortuna Sittard

Predictions by Market: Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Willem II
Willem II
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 19:00
0:1
Full-time
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
W W L W D Away · last 5
Koning Willem II Stadion · Tilburg Referee Dennis Higler

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · WIL
36%
Best 2.60
Draw
24%
Best 3.71
Away Win · SIT
40%
Best 2.58
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.40
Fair odds
2.12
book 2.40 · +13.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +13.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (53%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.3%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.4%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 60%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
WIL – SIT @ 2.40
+13.4%
Edge
Forecast →