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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Groningen — PEC Zwolle

Groningen vs PEC Zwolle 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Groningen
Groningen
Home · last 5 L L D D W
Kick-off
Fri 18 Sep · 18:00
3:0
Full-time
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
W L D L L Away · last 5
Euroborg · Groningen Referee Martin Van den Kerkhof
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 47% · book 2.30 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.72 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.60 ✗
Total goals
3
3 · 0
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.30 — +8.3% better than the market.

Groningen hosts PEC Zwolle in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have edged ahead in points per game over the last five matches. The home side’s compact defense and home momentum could counterbalance Zwolle’s sharper attack, suggesting a balanced contest. The moderate pace implied by odds hints at a tactical battle rather than a goal-fest.

  • Groningen’s resilience at Euroborg
  • PEC Zwolle’s recent scoring signs
  • Likely cautious tempo with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.30 ✗ Lost
AI 47% Implied 43% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GRO 3 – 0 ZWO
52%
Possession (%)
48%
17
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
1
2
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
6
7
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Groningen beat PEC Zwolle 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 9, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.42 units (Brier 0.176).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.30 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.72 — 62% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.60 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.50 — 41% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Home Win 1.68 — 53% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.17 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.68 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.20 — 75% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.50 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.48 — 59% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Draw 4.33 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.42u −22% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
GRO – ZWO @ 2.30
+8.3%
Edge
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