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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Sparta Rotterdam — Heerenveen

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen 0:4: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 16:45
0:4
Full-time
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
D L D W L Away · last 5
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Rotterdam Referee Robin Hensgens
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.69 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.51 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 38% · book 2.69 ✓
Total goals
4
0 · 4
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.69 — +4.9% better than the market.

Sparta Rotterdam hosts Heerenveen in a clash where away momentum is clear, given Heerenveen's superior recent form and higher points per game. Sparta's home edge is limited, suggesting a tough challenge to contain Heerenveen's attacking threat. The match hints at a balanced tempo with moderate goal expectations, supported by recent head-to-head results showing competitive encounters.

  • Heerenveen's better form and away resilience
  • Sparta's compact defense at home
  • Moderate pace likely to favor tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.69 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 59% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SPA 0 – 4 HEE
47%
Possession (%)
53%
11
Total Shots
23
0
Shots on Target
9
6
Shots off Target
9
7
Shots Inside Box
14
3
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

Heerenveen won 4–0 away at Sparta Rotterdam. At half-time it was 0–2.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 11, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.14 units (Brier 0.249).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.69 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.51 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.69 — 38% Cashed +1.69 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.80 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.10 — 44% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.22 — 38% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.35 — 69% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.50 — 59% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Home Win 3.40 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.84 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.14u −10% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
SPA – HEE @ 1.69
+4.9%
Edge
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