Ajax vs Willem II 5:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

Ajax hosts Willem II in a clash where home momentum and tactical discipline could be decisive. Despite Ajax's recent mixed form, their solid home setup and higher pre-match points per game suggest a pressing edge. Willem II's away struggles and lower form trend hint at difficulties breaking down Ajax's compact block.

Ajax's home resilience contrasts with Willem II's away woes
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play
Set-piece threat and defensive organization key for Ajax

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

AJA 4-3-3 · WIL 4-2-3-1

AJA · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · WIL

10 Gloukh

Statistics

AJA 5 – 1 WIL

70%

Possession (%)

30%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Ajax beat Willem II 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 33 shots to 10, 12 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 14 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -4.30 units (Brier 0.111).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	2.38	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	61%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	1.63	—	50%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Away Win	15.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	5.00	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	4.20	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	8.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	—	86%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.18	—	71%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.22	—	70%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−4.30u	−39% ROI

Ajax vs Willem II 5:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled