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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › PSV Eindhoven — Sparta Rotterdam

PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam 4:1: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 18:00
4:1
Full-time
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
L D L L D Away · last 5
Philips Stadion · Eindhoven Referee D. Makkelie
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 32% · book 2.42 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 31% · book 2.40 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 69% · book 1.57 ✓
Total goals
5
4 · 1
Possession
76% – 24%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.57 — +9.0% better than the market.

PSV Eindhoven arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a near-perfect recent run and a higher scoring expectation. Their attacking threat combined with Sparta Rotterdam's inconsistent form suggests a lively encounter at Philips Stadion. The pace is likely brisk, favoring PSV's pressing style and set-piece opportunities.

  • PSV's home edge and offensive firepower
  • Sparta's defensive vulnerabilities and patchy away form
  • High goal potential indicated by recent trends and odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.57 ✓ Cashed
AI 69% Implied 64% +0.57u
+57%
ROI on stake

Statistics

PSV 4 – 1 SPA
76%
Possession (%)
24%
28
Total Shots
10
10
Shots on Target
6
7
Shots off Target
3
17
Shots Inside Box
8
9
Corner Kicks
5
5
Offsides
0
6
Fouls
3
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven beat Sparta Rotterdam 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 76% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 10, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -4.44 units (Brier 0.059).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.42 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.40 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 69% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Away Win 13.70 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.54 — 68% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
Double Chance X2 5.00 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 8.30 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.05 — 87% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.18 — 72% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.22 — 83% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 2.5 4.20 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −4.44u −40% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
PSV – SPA @ 1.57
+9.0%
Edge
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