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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Fortuna Sittard — Ajax

Predictions by Market: Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Home · last 5 W W L W D
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 18:00
1:5
Full-time
Ajax
Ajax
L W W D D Away · last 5
Fortuna Sittard Stadion · Sitard Referee J. Manschot

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SIT
20%
Best 6.90
Draw
20%
Best 5.50
Away Win · AJA
60%
Best 1.42
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.98
book 3.10 · +4.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +4.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (66%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 19.8%
Odds 7.06
Show model details
Implied probability 14.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 33.6%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38.3%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 39.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
SIT – AJA @ 3.10
+4.2%
Edge
Forecast →