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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › AZ Alkmaar — Willem II

Predictions by Market: AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Fri 11 Sep · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
Willem II
Willem II
D L D L L Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion(Alkmaar) · Alkmaar Referee M. van den Kerkhof

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ALK
75%
Best 1.14
Draw
13%
Best 10.40
Away Win · WIL
12%
Best 18.00
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 1.78
Fair odds
1.72
book 1.78 · +3.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 58% · EV +3.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.6%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 13.1%
Odds 9.85
Show model details
Implied probability 10.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 4 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 76.9%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 23.1%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 59.9%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 1 market
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ALK – WIL @ 1.78
+3.5%
Edge
Forecast →