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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › ADO Den Haag — Fortuna Sittard

Predictions by Market: ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 14:45
2:3
Full-time
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
W W L W D Away · last 5
Referee Ingmar Oostrom

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HAA
43%
Best 2.16
Draw
24%
Best 3.96
Away Win · SIT
33%
Best 3.10
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.37
Fair odds
3.06
book 3.37 · +10.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +10.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (43%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 32.7%
Odds 3.37
Show model details
Implied probability 29.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.5%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 50.5%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
HAA – SIT @ 3.37
+10.3%
Edge
Forecast →