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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › ADO Den Haag — Fortuna Sittard

ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 14:45
2:3
Full-time
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
W W L W D Away · last 5
Referee Ingmar Oostrom
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.40 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.62 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.83 ✓
Total goals
5
2 · 3
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.37 — +10.3% better than the market.

ADO Den Haag faces a tough challenge against Fortuna Sittard, who show better recent form and more consistent points per game. Home momentum is lacking for Den Haag, struggling to find rhythm, while Fortuna’s sharper attack and steadier defense suggest they can control the pace. Expect a cautious start with a compact block from the hosts and pressing edge from the visitors.

  • Fortuna’s recent form advantage
  • Den Haag’s defensive resilience vs Fortuna’s attacking threat
  • Moderate tempo hints at a tactical, measured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.37 ✓ Cashed
AI 33% Implied 30% +2.37u
+237%
ROI on stake

Statistics

HAA 2 – 3 SIT
58%
Possession (%)
42%
11
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
5
6
Shots off Target
0
6
Shots Inside Box
5
2
Corner Kicks
0
3
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
16
0
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Fortuna Sittard won 3–2 away at ADO Den Haag. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -0.70 units (Brier 0.247).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.40 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.62 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.83 — 57% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Home Win 2.11 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.60 — 50% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Away Win 3.37 — 33% Cashed +2.37 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.50 — 55% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Draw 4.00 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 5 L −0.70u −8% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
HAA – SIT @ 3.37
+10.3%
Edge
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