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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Heerenveen — AZ Alkmaar

Predictions by Market: Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Home · last 5 D L D W L
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 12:30
2:3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
W W D W L Away · last 5
Abe Lenstra Stadion · Heerenveen Referee Jeroen Manschot

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HEE
28%
Best 4.10
Draw
25%
Best 4.17
Away Win · ALK
47%
Best 1.81
Value pick
Home Win
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.57
book 4.00 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +12.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (47%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 28%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.1%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
HEE – ALK @ 4.00
+12.0%
Edge
Forecast →