P
Prognosist
P
Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Willem II — Excelsior

Predictions by Market: Willem II vs Excelsior

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Willem II
Willem II
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 19:00
0:3
Full-time
Excelsior
Excelsior
W W D L D Away · last 5
Koning Willem II Stadion · Tilburg Referee Robin Hensgens

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · WIL
33%
Best 3.10
Draw
25%
Best 3.68
Away Win · EXC
42%
Best 2.27
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.69
Fair odds
1.48
book 1.69 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 68% · EV +14.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 32.3%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 31.8%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
WIL – EXC @ 1.69
+14.5%
Edge
Forecast →