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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Ajax — PSV Eindhoven

Predictions by Market: Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 L W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 18:00
1:3
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
W W W L W Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam Referee Sander van der Eijk

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AJA
36%
Best 2.70
Draw
24%
Best 3.95
Away Win · PSV
40%
Best 2.45
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.40
Fair odds
1.27
book 1.40 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 79% · EV +9.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 37.2%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 21.5%
Odds 2.99
Show model details
Implied probability 33.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 21.4%
Odds 3.21
Show model details
Implied probability 31.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 60%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
AJA – PSV @ 1.40
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →