Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven 1:6 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.00 — +9.5% better than the market.

PSV Eindhoven arrives with clear momentum, boasting a strong recent run compared to Utrecht's struggles. The away side's attacking prowess and higher expected goals suggest they can unlock Utrecht's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, Utrecht's home advantage is tempered by their lack of form and scoring troubles. Expect a lively encounter with a good chance of multiple goals given the attacking intent and open play tendencies.

PSV's recent winning form contrasts with Utrecht's draws and losses.
Higher expected goals favor PSV's offensive threat.
Match likely to feature open play and goal opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 55% Implied 50% +1.00u

+100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

UTR 3-4-2-1 · PSV 4-2-3-1

UTR · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · PSV

9 Stepanov

Statistics

UTR 1 – 6 PSV

34%

Possession (%)

66%

0.30

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.04

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven won 6–1 away at Utrecht. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.04 to 0.30. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 30 shots to 1, 14 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 13 to 0. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 6 from 3.04 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.27 units (Brier 0.120).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.00	—	55%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.25	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.67	—	55%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS No	2.70	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.84	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.53	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.40	—	74%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.44	—	68%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.22	—	76%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.88	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.53	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.27u	−30% ROI

Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven 1:6: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled