🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 74% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 68%, PSV Eindhoven to win 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
PSV Eindhoven arrives with clear momentum, boasting a strong recent run compared to Utrecht's struggles. The away side's attacking prowess and higher expected goals suggest they can unlock Utrecht's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, Utrecht's home advantage is tempered by their lack of form and scoring troubles. Expect a lively encounter with a good chance of multiple goals given the attacking intent and open play tendencies.
- PSV's recent winning form contrasts with Utrecht's draws and losses.
- Higher expected goals favor PSV's offensive threat.
- Match likely to feature open play and goal opportunities.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 55% | PSV Eindhoven win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 74% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 68% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 76% | X2 |
- 1X2 PSV Eindhoven win 55%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74%
- BTTS Yes 68%
- Double Chance X2 76%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Utrecht
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
8 / 11
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
xG (for / against)
1.61 / 1.59
PSV Eindhoven
W/D/L
4-1-0
Goals (for / against)
18 / 6
Avg goals / match
4.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
5/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
xG (for / against)
2.88 / 0.96
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Utrecht wins when scoring first
—
①
PSV Eindhoven wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Utrecht BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
PSV Eindhoven BTTS rate · last 10
90%
↑
Utrecht Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↩
Utrecht comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
PSV Eindhoven comeback rate · last 10
33%
🔥 Goal timing
Utrecht · last 8 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
19%
31–45
12%
46–60
25%
61–75
25%
76–90
19%
PSV Eindhoven · last 4 away
0–15
11%
16–30
22%
31–45
11%
46–60
22%
61–75
33%
76–90
0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
