Match PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.53 — +10.9% better than the market.

PSV Eindhoven hosts Groningen in a match where attacking intent is clear from both sides, reflected in recent high-scoring encounters. Despite PSV's modest recent form, Groningen's stronger momentum and higher scoring rate suggest a lively contest. The home side's pressing edge and set-piece threat could challenge Groningen's defense, but the visitors' sharp counterattacks may exploit gaps.

Home pressing and set-piece threat
Groningen's recent winning streak and scoring form
Likely open game with over 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.53 ✓ Cashed

AI 72% Implied 65% +0.53u

+53%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PSV 4-3-3 · GRO 4-2-3-1

PSV · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · GRO

7 Bommel

📊 Statistics

PSV 5 – 1 GRO

62%

Possession (%)

38%

4.42

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.09

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

92%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven beat Groningen 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.42 to 1.09. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 7, 12 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.82 units (Brier 0.081).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.86	—	63%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.98	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.45	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	72%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Away Win	7.75	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.30	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.33	—	82%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.10	—	80%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Home Win	1.36	—	62%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Draw	5.56	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.40	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.82u	−35% ROI