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Home Netherlands Eredivisie GO Ahead Eagles — ADO Den Haag

Match GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
Home · last 5 W D W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 10:15
3:1
Full-time
ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag
L L L Away · last 5
De Adelaarshorst · Deventer Referee Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 44% · book 2.38
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 47% · book 2.10
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 41% · book 2.38
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.01 – 0.99
Δ +0.02
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.38 — +3.9% better than the market.

GO Ahead Eagles show clear home momentum with a solid recent run contrasting ADO Den Haag's struggles. The Eagles' ability to create chances at De Adelaarshorst gives them a pressing edge, while Den Haag's defensive lapses away from home could be exploited. Expect a lively tempo given the odds favoring goals, with the home side's sharper form and attacking intent likely to shape the match.

  • Home side's recent form advantage
  • Attacking pressure at home ground
  • Potential for goals given pace hints

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 2.38 ✓ Cashed
AI 44% Implied 42% +1.38u
+138%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

EAG 31 HAA
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.01
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.99
11
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
8
6
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
13
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

GO Ahead Eagles beat ADO Den Haag 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 11, 3 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.01 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.54 units (Brier 0.166).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.38 44% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.10 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.78 53% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.61 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.40 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.53 65% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.22 77% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.55 59% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Away Win 4.36 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −2.54u −23% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
EAG – HAA @ 2.38
+3.9%
Edge
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