Match Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 5.09 — +13.8% better than the market.

Heerenveen shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a struggling PEC Zwolle side. The hosts have the edge in points per game and have historically dominated this fixture, suggesting a compact defensive setup to control the match. Expect a moderate tempo with a focus on set-piece threats and exploiting Zwolle's defensive lapses.

Home form advantage and historical dominance
PEC Zwolle's recent poor run and defensive vulnerabilities
Likely controlled pace with tactical discipline from Heerenveen

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 5.09 ✓ Cashed

AI 22% Implied 20% +4.09u

+409%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HEE 4-2-3-1 · ZWO 4-2-3-1

HEE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ZWO

9 Vente

📊 Statistics

HEE 0 – 2 ZWO

62%

Possession (%)

38%

0.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.85

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PEC Zwolle won 2–0 away at Heerenveen. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 9, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +3.39 units (Brier 0.297).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.70	—	45%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
BTTS No	2.50	—	48%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.72	—	66%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.38	—	44%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Home Win	1.62	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.17	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.09	—	22%	Cashed	+4.09	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.44	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	+3.39u	+31% ROI