Match Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.75 — +5.8% better than the market.

Sparta Rotterdam hosts Utrecht in a match where the visitors show better recent form despite Sparta's home momentum. Utrecht's higher expected goals suggest they carry an attacking edge, but Sparta's resilience at home could keep the game tight. The odds hint at a moderately open game with a decent chance of goals, supported by both sides' tendencies to find the net.

Utrecht's stronger recent form and attacking threat
Sparta's home resilience and compact block
Moderate pace expected with goal-scoring opportunities

Expect a competitive encounter with chances on both ends, where tactical discipline and set-piece moments might decide the outcome.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 57% +0.75u

+75%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 3-4-3 · UTR 3-4-3

SPA · 3-4-3 3-4-3 · UTR

11 Santos

📊 Statistics

SPA 3 – 3 UTR

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.92

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Rotterdam and Utrecht drew 3–3. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.44 units (Brier 0.219).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.75	—	60%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.64	—	40%	Cashed	+1.64	Cashed
Away Win	2.65	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.67	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.20	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.49	—	65%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.53	—	61%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	62%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.46	—	27%	Cashed	+2.46	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 5 L	+1.44u	+13% ROI