Match Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar August 22, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.21 — +14.2% better than the market.

Fortuna Sittard hosts AZ Alkmaar in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have won their last two matches compared to Fortuna's mixed results. The home side shows signs of resilience and could leverage their home momentum, but AZ's sharper attack and higher expected goals hint at a pressing edge. Expect a lively encounter with both teams likely to find the net, supported by a pace that suggests an open game with multiple scoring chances.

AZ's recent winning streak boosts confidence.
Fortuna's home atmosphere may disrupt visitors.
Both teams show attacking intent, favoring goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.21 ✗ Lost

AI 52% Implied 45% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SIT 3-4-2-1 · ALK 4-2-3-1

SIT · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · ALK

25 Zeefuik

📊 Statistics

SIT 0 – 2 ALK

28%

Possession (%)

72%

0.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

4.35

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

70%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AZ Alkmaar won 2–0 away at Fortuna Sittard. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 4.35 to 0.44. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 4, 11 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 15 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.40 units (Brier 0.283).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.21	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.31	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.67	—	52%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.70	—	48%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
BTTS No	2.45	—	32%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.60	—	29%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.50	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.04	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.18	—	74%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Draw	4.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−1.40u	−13% ROI

Match Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.21 — +14.2% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled