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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia — Radomiak Radom

Match Jagiellonia vs Radomiak Radom February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
Home · last 5 L W W D W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 13:45
1:1
Full-time
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
W W D L L Away · last 5
Referee Damian Sylwestrzak, Poland
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 58% · book 1.93
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.30
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.39
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.87 – 0.67
Δ +1.20
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Jagiellonia shows clear home momentum with a stronger overall profile and a slight edge in attacking efficiency against Radomiak's defense. Their recent form is more convincing, suggesting they can control the pace and press effectively. Radomiak's defense might be tested by Jagiellonia's compact block and set-piece threat, while their own attack faces a tough challenge.

  • Home side's offensive edge vs away defense
  • Better recent form and home advantage
  • Moderate pace expected with balanced goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

JAG 11 RAD
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.87
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.67
20
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
2
11
Shots off Target
4
13
Shots Inside Box
5
9
Corner Kicks
3
7
Offsides
0
18
Fouls
16
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
3
Yellow Cards
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Jagiellonia and Radomiak Radom drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.87 to 0.67. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 9, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.17 units (Brier 0.174).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.93 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.30 52% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
BTTS No 2.39 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 52% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.67 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.93 42% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.62 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.52 72% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.66 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.42 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 82% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.90 24% Cashed +2.90 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 73% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.95 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.00 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.17u −13% ROI