Brighton vs West Ham 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 5.00 — +9.8% better than the market.

Brighton holds a clear quality edge over West Ham, boosted by strong home momentum and a potent attack facing a vulnerable away defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while West Ham struggles to convert chances and maintain consistency. Expect Brighton's compact block and pressing to limit West Ham's threat, with a moderate pace likely given the balanced goal expectations.

Home advantage with tactical discipline
Brighton's attacking pressure vs West Ham's defensive frailty
Form favors Brighton's confidence and control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 5.00 ✗ Lost

AI 22% Implied 20% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · WES 3-4-1-2

BRI · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · WES

18 Welbeck

Subs used · BRI

60'

Hinshelwood ↑ ·

Baleba ↓

72'

Gruda ↑ ·

Minteh ↓

72'

Kostoulas ↑ ·

De Cuyper ↓

83'

Boscagli ↑ ·

Kadioglu ↓

Subs used · WES

64'

Potts ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

72'

Wilson ↑ ·

Summerville ↓

82'

Magassa ↑ ·

Fernandes ↓

82'

Soucek ↑ ·

Paqueta ↓

83'

Mayers ↑ ·

Diouf ↓

Statistics

BRI 1 – 1 WES

68%

Possession (%)

32%

1.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.14

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 1 – 1

Ferdi Kadıoğlu

Yellow Card

▮

10'

Half-time · 0 – 0

Lewis Dunk

Yellow Card

▮

52'

60'

▮

Guido Rodríguez

Yellow Card

J. Hinshelwood ↓ · C. Baleba ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

64'

⇄

F. Potts ↓ · G. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 1

B. Gruda ↓ · Y. Minteh ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

72'

C. Kostoulas ↓ · M. De Cuyper ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

⇄

C. Wilson ↓ · C. Summerville ↑

Substitution 2

73'

⚽

J. Bowen

Assist · C. Wilson · 0–1

77'

▮

Freddie Potts

Yellow Card

82'

⇄

S. Magassa ↓ · M. Fernandes ↑

Substitution 3

82'

⇄

T. Soucek ↓ · Lucas Paqueta ↑

Substitution 4

O. Boscagli ↓ · F. Kadioglu ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

⇄

E. Mayers ↓ · M. Diouf ↑

Substitution 5

G. Rutter

Assist · J. P. van Hecke · 1–1

⚽

90'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Brighton and West Ham drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.70 to 1.14. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 14, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 6. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Bowen (73'), G. Rutter (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.98 units (Brier 0.197).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.62	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.36	—	45%	Cashed	+1.36	Cashed
BTTS No	2.20	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.69	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	52%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.60	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.49	—	34%	Cashed	+1.49	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.55	—	67%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	88%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.24	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	16.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.45	—	21%	Cashed	+3.45	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.21	—	78%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Away Win	5.89	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.38	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.98u	−6% ROI

Brighton vs West Ham 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled