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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Arouca — Estrela

Predictions by Market: Arouca vs Estrela

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 L W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 19:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Estrela
Estrela
W D W D L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Aruca Referee Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARO
36%
Best 2.06
Draw
26%
Best 3.70
Away Win · EST
38%
Best 3.80
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.65
Fair odds
1.56
book 1.65 · +5.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 64% · EV +5.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 36%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.9%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.17
Show model details
Implied probability 31.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.3%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
ARO – EST @ 1.65
+5.3%
Edge
Forecast →