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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Moreirense — GIL Vicente

Predictions by Market: Moreirense vs GIL Vicente

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 L L W D L
Kick-off
Fri 09 Oct · 17:45
0:1
Full-time
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
D L L D W Away · last 5
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas · Guimarães Referee Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MOR
37%
Best 3.50
Draw
27%
Best 3.32
Away Win · VIC
36%
Best 2.25
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.62
Fair odds
1.44
book 1.62 · +11.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 69% · EV +11.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 37.1%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 30.7%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 20.5%
Odds 7.40
Show model details
Implied probability 13.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 87.3%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 85.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5
Probability 79.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 12.7%
Odds 4.27
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 63%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 37%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 35.6%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 76.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MOR – VIC @ 1.62
+11.9%
Edge
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