Moreirense vs GIL Vicente 0:1: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Fri 09 Oct · 17:45
0:1
Full-time
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas · Guimarães
Referee Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 44% · book 2.69
✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.62
✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 63% · book 1.75
✓
xG (open play)
1.14 – 1.51
Δ −0.37
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.62 — +11.9% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.62
✓ Cashed
AI 69%
Implied 62%
+0.62u
⛀ Lineups
MOR 4-2-3-1 · VIC 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
MOR 0
– 1 VIC
1.14
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.51
⏱ Match events
17 · 0 – 1
17'
▮
Ricardo Esgaio
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
56'
▮
Andreas Lausen
Yellow Card
Manuel Mendonça
Yellow Card
▮
60'
64'
⇄
Mohamed Kaba ↓ · Andreas Lausen ↑
Substitution 1
Rodrigo Alonso ↓ · Nile John ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
João Veloso ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
70'
▮
Gil Pinto Martins
Yellow Card
72'
⇄
Joelson Fernandes ↓ · Gil Pinto Martins ↑
Substitution 2
72'
⇄
Guilherme Gomes ↓ · Hector Hernandez ↑
Substitution 3
Gilberto Batista
Yellow Card
▮
75'
Landerson Costa Araújo ↓ · Manuel Mendonça ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
83'
⇄
Walace França ↓ · Murilo Souza ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
Tidjany Chabrol Toure ↓ · Santiago García González ↑
Substitution 5
Yan Maranhão ↓ · Leonardo Vonić ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga
Yellow Card
▮
88'
90'
⚽
Walace França (P)
Penalty · 0–1
Full-time · 0 – 1
Match recap
GIL Vicente won 1–0 away at Moreirense. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: Walace França (90').
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.60 units (Brier 0.173).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 1.5 |
2.69 |
2.62 |
44% |
Cashed |
+1.69 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.62 |
1.57 |
69% |
Cashed |
+0.62 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
1.75 |
1.74 |
63% |
Cashed |
+0.75 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.67 |
1.59 |
64% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.43 |
2.43 |
37% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
2.20 |
2.25 |
36% |
Cashed |
+1.20 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.97 |
2.00 |
37% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.35 |
2.40 |
31% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
7.40 |
8.00 |
21% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
3.30 |
3.40 |
37% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.20 |
3.05 |
27% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.32 |
1.32 |
63% |
Cashed |
+0.32 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.18 |
1.18 |
87% |
Cashed |
+0.18 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.58 |
1.57 |
36% |
Cashed |
+0.58 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.06 |
1.07 |
79% |
Cashed |
+0.06 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.39 |
1.44 |
56% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
4.27 |
4.50 |
13% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−3.60u |
−21% ROI |
