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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Estrela — Academico Viseu

Estrela vs Academico Viseu 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 W D W D L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 14:30
0:2
Full-time
Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu
L W W W W Away · last 5
Referee Andre Narciso
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.15 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.85 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.00 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.15 — +13.1% better than the market.

Estrela holds a clear quality edge over Academico Viseu, reflected in their stronger overall strength and home momentum. Both sides share similar recent form, but Estrela's home advantage and slightly better defensive solidity could prove decisive. Expect a controlled tempo with moderate chances, as the attacking mismatch is not overwhelming but favors the hosts.

  • Home side's defensive resilience vs away attack
  • Balanced recent form but home edge in consistency
  • Moderate pace suggested by odds, favoring a tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.15 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 47% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

EST 4-2-3-1 · ACA 4-2-3-1
EST · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ACA 24 Linck 21 Scholze 5 Leković 4 Schappo 55 Soares 14 Zvonarek 39 Doue 99 Marcus 78 Serra 10 Stoica 37 Antonetti 98 Ewerton 75 Robinho 41 Correia 2 Michelis 57 Costa 8 Kahraman 7 Silva 47 Gohi 14 Messeguem 31 Guilherme 33 Clóvis ⚽
Subs used · EST
45' Jordan ↑ · Doué ↓
64' Souza ↑ · Zvonarek ↓
64' Jansson ↑ · Serra ↓
77' Mitongo ↑ · Stoica ↓
84' Botelho ↑ · Schappo ↓
Subs used · ACA
45' Blanquez ↑ · Costa ↓
69' Zamora ↑ · Gohi ↓
79' Bouldini ↑ · Clóvis ↓
79' Mestanza ↑ · Kahraman ↓
86' Mortimer ↑ · Guilherme ↓

Statistics

EST 0 – 2 ACA
59%
Possession (%)
41%
16
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 0 – 2
10'
⚽
André Clóvis
Assist · Cihan Kahraman · 0–1
24'
⚽
André Clóvis
Assist · Cihan Kahraman · 0–2
Eddy Doué
Yellow Card
▮
30'
Joan Jordan ↓ · Eddy Doué ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
45'
⇄
Miguel Ángel Brau Blanquez ↓ · Gustavo Costa ↑
Substitution 1
45+1'
▮
Gustavo Costa
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 2
Beni Souza ↓ · Lovro Zvonarek ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
64'
Kevin Hoog Jansson ↓ · Santiago Serra ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
64'
Joan Jordan
Yellow Card
▮
68'
69'
⇄
Alvaro Zamora ↓ · Lorougnon Gohi ↑
Substitution 2
73'
▮
Luis Silva
Yellow Card
73'
▮
Soufiane Messeguem
Yellow Card
René Mitongo ↓ · Ianis Stoica ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
79'
⇄
Mohamed Bouldini ↓ · André Clóvis ↑
Substitution 3
79'
⇄
Alejandro Mestanza ↓ · Cihan Kahraman ↑
Substitution 4
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho ↓ · Bernardo Schappo ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
86'
⇄
Nils Mortimer ↓ · João Guilherme ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Academico Viseu won 2–0 away at Estrela. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 8, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: André Clóvis (10'), André Clóvis (24').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.17 units (Brier 0.239).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.15 2.07 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.85 1.85 53% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 2.00 48% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.95 1.95 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 1.75 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.61 1.51 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.62 1.72 47% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.45 2.61 21% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.35 1.29 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.20 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 1.29 73% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 91% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.32 3.40 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 1.28 72% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Draw 3.40 3.34 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.80 10.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.30 3.60 21% Cashed +2.30 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.17u −13% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
EST – ACA @ 2.15
+13.1%
Edge
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